There’s a frequent number in the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, and it’s not a good one for President Trump — 53 percent. Fifty-three percent of Americans disapprove of Trump’s job. Fifty-three percent hold a negative personal view of the president. Fifty-three percent don’t believe the president has been […] Read more »
What Democrats Could Lose With Their Left Turn
One defining feature of the Democratic primary so far has been the party’s leftward turn. In recent debates, candidates have supported policies like offering health insurance to undocumented immigrants, and commenters have warned about the potential electoral penalty of repelling persuadable voters. Political science research suggests that moderates generally fare […] Read more »
Emerging 2020 dynamics: Combined data set
Democracy Corps has conducted two national polls in July and September to create a data base large enough to talk about different segments of the Republican Party, but it also provides us with a deep look at the emerging presidential race. (The data base includes 2,800 interviews.) We are also […] Read more »
What Orange County turning blue tells us about California politics … and politics nationally
The Los Angeles Times on Wednesday marked a milestone in California politics: Orange County, once a bastion of Republican politics in the state and nationally, now has more registered Democrats than Republicans. This is not, however, simply some sort of reaction to the current occupant of the White House from […] Read more »
How third-party votes sunk Clinton, what they mean for Trump
For all the talk about why Donald Trump was elected president while losing the popular vote and how he could win again, one of the least discussed results of the 2016 election offers valuable lessons for Democrats. An astounding 7.8 million voters cast their presidential ballots for someone other than […] Read more »
An early look at the 2020 class of swing voters
The vast majority of American voters are locked in on their feelings about President Trump and whether they will support him or a Democrat in the 2020 general election. Believe it or not, a sizable share of voters’ 2020 support is not set in stone. … We took a closer […] Read more »