… Of course, most Democrats disapprove of Trump but his current net approval rating is better than it was in December before the coronavirus first emerged. This helps make sense of a puzzle: Why has Trump’s approval bump not helped him in his probable November matchup again former vice president […] Read more »
How to un-break the primaries
Many people in both major parties have soured on the presidential primary system. … From a historical perspective, the story of presidential primaries has largely been about the rise of voter power and the falling clout of party insiders; both parties still struggle with striking the right balance between those […] Read more »
How Will Independents Break on Iran?
The standoff between the United States and Iran at one point looked quite possibly like the beginning of a war. Now both sides have wisely pulled back from the brink, at least for the time being. But when it comes to public opinion, Iran is hardly an isolated event, for […] Read more »
The U.S. Remained Center-Right, Ideologically, in 2019
As Americans continued to lean more Democratic than Republican in their party preferences in 2019, the ideological balance of the country remained center-right, with 37% of Americans, on average, identifying as conservative during the year, 35% as moderate and 24% as liberal. CONT. Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »
A popular theory for Trump’s popularity among Republicans appears to be wrong
… To Democrats, the level of support for Trump within his party seems occasionally baffling. How could someone they hate so much be viewed so positively by the other party? Over the course of Trump’s presidency, a theory emerged: He’s so popular among Republicans because Trump-skeptical Republicans have simply given […] Read more »
Party Preferences Steady During Trump Era
In 2019, on average, 47% of U.S. adults identified politically as Democrats or said they were independents who leaned toward the Democratic Party. Meanwhile, 42% identified as Republicans or were Republican-leaning independents. Americans’ political leanings have been quite stable since 2016, the year Donald Trump was elected president. The Democratic […] Read more »