By now, you’ve probably heard that Donald J. Trump has a problem with women. Not just suburban women, but American women across age, race or education — a pattern that shows up in every poll. But the gender gap may not be as much about President Trump as many people […] Read more »
These Americans Tried to Listen to One Another. A Year Later, Here’s How They’re Voting.
ONE YEAR AGO, the Americans pictured here — Republicans, Democrats and independents — were among a group of voters feeling pretty good about the state of American democracy. They believed their differences weren’t so vast. They believed they could talk to one another. They thought compromise might even come of […] Read more »
Democratic Edge in Party Affiliation Shrinks
As the Republican convention gets underway, recent Gallup polling finds the GOP still trailing Democrats in U.S. adults’ party affiliation but not nearly to the degree it did in June. The Democratic advantage over the Republican Party, which was an unusually large 11-percentage-points in June, is now six points. … […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders: From Biden rival to supporter
In Sen. Bernie Sanders’ second bid for the presidency, he repeated his strong support among young voters, and had some success in moving the Democratic party toward some of his more progressive ideas. … Sanders endorsed Biden soon after exiting the race, and most Democrats say Biden has struck the […] Read more »
A Steady Race Where Movement Is Driven by “Bystanders”
… As I wrote back in September of that year, every time a candidate was in the media spotlight, their poll numbers suffered. “When it [the spotlight] hits them,” I wrote, “it exposes their flaws instead of highlighting their strengths. Their poll numbers and their favorability numbers sink…The more it […] Read more »
Sorry, Republicans. The polls really are that bad.
Many Republicans are responding with disbelief to polls showing President Trump well behind former vice president Joe Biden nationally and in all the swing states. Some say the polls are undercounting Republicans, while others cite 2016 as evidence that the polls are just wrong. Sadly, neither explanation holds water. … […] Read more »