If Republicans Ever Turn On Trump, It’ll Happen All At Once

… Will Republicans finally break with Trump? We may not know until it happens. But be forewarned — if it does happen, it will likely take us by surprise. After all, political science has shown us that big political changes often come suddenly, after long periods of stasis. Looking back, […] Read more »

Why Partisans Look At The Same Evidence On Ukraine And See Wildly Different Things

… It is not your imagination — partisanship really does affect the way we understand evidence of a scandal and how we interpret that evidence. You can see that in the polls that came out this week, which show sharp divides between Democrats who overwhelmingly support impeachment proceedings and Republicans […] Read more »

Perilous times for Trump: By 45%-38%, Americans support impeaching him over Ukraine allegations

Americans by a 45%-38% plurality now support a vote by the House of Representatives to impeach President Donald Trump, a USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds, as allegations continue to swirl around an embattled White House. By a similar margin, 44%-35%, those surveyed say the Senate, which would then be charged with […] Read more »

Trump’s bad Nixon imitation may cost him the presidency

President Richard Nixon, left, and President Donald Trump, right. AP//Frank C. Curtin; REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst Ken Hughes, University of Virginia Whatever Donald Trump does, Richard Nixon usually did it first and better. Nixon got a foreign government’s help to win a presidential election over 50 years ago. Trump’s imitation of the […] Read more »

Clinton’s impeachment barely dented his public support, and it turned off many Americans

The U.S. House’s impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump’s interactions with the president of Ukraine comes more than two decades after the last presidential impeachment crisis – the one that engulfed President Bill Clinton in 1998 and early 1999. The circumstances – factual, political and societal – were very different […] Read more »