This week, we preview the upcoming Democratic primary debate in Ohio, as well as the gubernatorial election in Louisiana. Then we talk impeachment efforts of yore, and Sen. Mitt Romney’s role in the current impeachment inquiry against President Trump. The Forecast Fest, CNN Read more »
Trump starts the impeachment battle with a majority against him
There’s a frequent number in the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, and it’s not a good one for President Trump — 53 percent. Fifty-three percent of Americans disapprove of Trump’s job. Fifty-three percent hold a negative personal view of the president. Fifty-three percent don’t believe the president has been […] Read more »
Washington is trapped in a bad spy novel
It’s been a bad week in Washington and it’s not likely to get any better soon. In fact, it’s beginning to feel like the whole town and everyone in it is trapped in a really bad spy novel. … Polls are showing a tightening on the impeachment question raising flags […] Read more »
Impeachment polling doesn’t bolster your narrative as much as you might think
On Tuesday, The Washington Post released a new poll evaluating how Americans view the impeachment inquiry underway in the House. Since we last polled on the question in July, there was a substantial increase in support for an inquiry, across partisan groups. … There is no question that polls after […] Read more »
Learning from impeachments past
Surveys derive meaning from comparisons across time and space. With so little to go by, drawing conclusions about impeachments is difficult. If there’s one overriding lesson from polling in our two previous cases it’s that sometimes impeachment inflicts damage and sometimes it doesn’t. While perceptions of some aspects of Bill […] Read more »
Public views Ukraine charges as serious, but half say Trump shouldn’t be removed, poll finds
A majority of Americans say the allegations that President Donald Trump asked a foreign leader to investigate 2020 rival Joe Biden are serious and need to be fully investigated, and they also believe the president hasn’t been honest and truthful about his actions. Still, the public is divided — largely […] Read more »