President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly shattered political tradition, may find himself in another unprecedented circumstance in 2020: He could become the first president ever to be impeached by the House and then seek another term in the next election. That unique prospect could scramble the electoral calculations next year […] Read more »
What To Look For In The Fourth Democratic Debate
Since last Monday’s podcast, a number of new impeachment polls have published, and they don’t look good for President Trump. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a look at the new impeachment polling and reviews some of the main developments since last week. The team […] Read more »
How to know which impeachment polls to believe – and which to skip
Senator Chuck Schumer holds up the White House transcript of a call between President Donald Trump and the president of Ukraine. AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin Michael Traugott, University of Michigan Pollsters are trying their best to track public opinion about the House Democrats’ decision to initiate an impeachment inquiry against President […] Read more »
The Clinton Legacy: Impeachment Hurts the President
Conventional wisdom holds that the Republican Party suffered a big political penalty for impeaching Bill Clinton in 1998. But that’s not quite right. Republicans paid a modest, short-term penalty, while the costs to the Democratic Party appear to have been larger and longer-lasting. … Two decades ago, the Republicans’ decision […] Read more »
Polls show support for impeachment but not removal, yet
The Ukraine/impeachment saga has been topping the news for weeks now, but a raft of new polls released this week offer the first real read on where the public stands on the complicated story. The common headline: Most people want an investigation and a formal inquiry, but Republicans are not […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Warren extends lead across early states, New Hampshire and draws even with Biden in Iowa
Early-state Democratic voters say President Trump’s allegations against Joe Biden have not affected their views of Biden and largely think they aren’t true. Even so, it’s Elizabeth Warren who continues to draw support from Democrats. She has extended the aggregate lead she had in this poll last month across the […] Read more »