Would Republicans pay a price if they vote to impeach the president? Here’s what we know from 1974.

With the House likely to vote to impeach President Trump, what electoral repercussions (if any) would House or Senate Republicans face from their votes on whether to impeach the president or remove him from office? If some members of the GOP break ranks, would their constituents reward or punish them […] Read more »

Americans Overwhelmingly Say Impeachment Hearings Won’t Change Their Minds

The country is witnessing one of only a handful of times in its history that Congress has gone through with public hearings on whether to impeach a president. And yet, the overwhelming majority of Americans across parties say nothing they hear in the inquiry will change their minds on impeachment, […] Read more »

Trump’s options for winning a second term are narrowing

The tumultuous impeachment hearings and the string of GOP election losses this fall underline the electoral risks Republicans are courting as they allow President Donald Trump to refashion the party in his combative image. In overlapping ways, the election results and the hearings — in particular Trump’s characteristically belligerent response […] Read more »

About Buttigieg … And That Iowa Poll

The latest Des Moines Register poll was released this weekend, and it shows South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg leading Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in Iowa. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew digs into this poll and discusses […] Read more »