Documents discovered in the files of a deceased Republican redistricting strategist contain further information connecting him to the Trump administration’s quest to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census, say civil rights groups challenging the question. Attorneys for the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund (MALDEF), Asian Americans […] Read more »
Opinion Shift and Stability: The Information Environment and Long-Lasting Opposition to Trump’s Muslim Ban
A few days after the tragic San Bernardino attacks, presidential hopeful Donald Trump first promised a “Muslim Ban.” Less than one week into his presidency, Trump made good on his promise and signed executive order (EO) 13769, which denied citizens of seven Muslim-majority countries entry into the United States. … […] Read more »
CFO Survey: Global Recession Predicted; Strong Support for U.S. Immigration Reform
Nearly half of chief financial officers in the United States believe the nation’s economy will enter a recession in about a year, according to the Duke University/CFO Global Business Outlook. CFOs in other parts of the world predict an even higher probability of recession. Meanwhile, U.S. companies remain concerned about […] Read more »
The Untapped Power of Rural Voters
… Republicans have long courted rural voters. Democrats need to do a better job at that. To win in 2020, the eventual Democratic nominee needs to increase the Democrats’ share of rural votes and not cede them to Republicans. This is within reach. From 2012 to 2016, Democrats lost 11 […] Read more »
How Candidates Are Handling The ‘Electability’ Question
More women are running in the Democratic presidential primary than ever before. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how different women in the race are addressing questions about their identity. The team also weighs […] Read more »
Five issue positions that could blow up a Democratic campaign
So far this election cycle five issues have arisen that could blow up a Democratic candidate for president, a Democratic candidate for dog-catcher and everyone in between. The only exceptions are those Democratic candidates who live in Vermont or who live in the 17 congressional districts (approximately 4 percent of […] Read more »