… The big question in the 2016 election was whether Trump would underperform a traditional Republican. Historically, it is hard for an American party to win a third presidential term. It has only happened once (1988) since World War II. Had the Republicans thrown away a great opportunity by nominating […] Read more »
In Rejecting Popular Paris Accord, Trump Bets on His Base
By a ratio of more than five to one, Americans in one recent poll said the United States should participate in the Paris climate change agreement that President Trump pulled out of on Thursday. Even a majority of Republicans agreed. But in Mr. Trump’s calculation, withdrawing from the accord will […] Read more »
A Tale of Two Populisms
… Trump’s populism surely played a role in the surge of white working-class voters to the GOP ticket in 2016. But Trump’s brand of populism—and more importantly, that of working-class whites—differs in important ways from the populism of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. I don’t mean only that Trump’s populism […] Read more »
The demographics of the #resistance
Ninety percent of the protesters at the Women’s March on Washington voted for Hillary Clinton. Liz Lemon/Flickr Dana R. Fisher, University of Maryland; Dawn Marie Dow, University of Maryland, and Rashawn Ray, University of Maryland Since the inauguration of Donald Trump, hundreds of thousands of people have marched on Washington, […] Read more »
‘Narrowcast’ Trump? Republicans Seek Formula to Keep House Majority
In the northern suburbs of Atlanta, where what is likely to be the most expensive House campaign in history is being waged, a band of conservative advocacy groups is grappling with a question that may decide whether the Republican Party keeps its House majority after 2018: Do you run with […] Read more »
Survey Suggests American Voters Have More in Common Than You Might Think
Conventional wisdom states that the political landscape has Americans more divided than ever, but new research suggests there is plenty Americans do agree on. Following the contentious 2016 presidential election, Deep Roots Analytics, a firm co-founded by former Mitt Romney campaign director of data science Alex Lundry, conducted a survey […] Read more »