The Contract With Authoritarianism

… The election of Donald Trump — built as it was on several long-term trends that converged in 2016 — has created an authoritarian moment. This somewhat surprising development is the subject of “Remaking Partisan Politics through Authoritarian Sorting,” a forthcoming book by the political scientists Christopher Federico, Stanley Feldman […] Read more »

Why Is Climate Change So Politically Polarizing?

One of the starkest displays of political polarization in the U.S. is on the subject of climate change. But it wasn’t always this way. Gallup’s tracking on the issue reveals periods in the 1990s when Democrats’ and Republicans’ views on the topic were not so different. So, how did the […] Read more »

Authoritarian Warning Survey: Increased threat levels and perceived risk of democratic breakdown

Our expert survey results in March 2018 demonstrate increased threat levels and perceived risk of democratic breakdown. From February to March 2018, ratings worsened on all six dimensions of democratic performance, further reversing the improvement from December to January. Experts rate a 9.1% chance of democratic breakdown in the U.S. […] Read more »

Emerging Democratic Party united on liberal policies but divided on how to win

A new Democratic Party is emerging in congressional primaries across the country, united over the most liberal policies in decades but sharply divided over which candidates to run against President Trump and Republicans in the midterms. The party taking shape will challenge the GOP with a distinct populist tilt, marking […] Read more »

As Stormy Daniels tells her story, six conservative Americans debate whether Trump is a role model

Roughly 22 million Americans turned on “60 Minutes” on Sunday night to hear adult-film star Stormy Daniels say that she once spanked President Trump with a magazine that had his face on the cover and then had unprotected sex with him. For many, the interview was the latest in a […] Read more »

Fact-checking Tucker Carlson on diversity in America

Wrong on the key specifics. And even more wrong on the larger meaning. That’s the dual bottom line on the extraordinary screed last week against diversity in general, and immigration in particular, from Fox News Channel host Tucker Carlson. … Carlson said explicitly what is often left implicit: how much […] Read more »