… For Cleveland suburbs, Shaker and Parma have little in common other than that, until recently, Democratic presidential candidates could count on their votes. But in 2016, Parma voted for Donald Trump, and Shaker didn’t. To Clevelanders, this split followed a certain logic. Shaker and Parma have long been of […] Read more »
Stop thinking of Bernie Sanders as a gadfly. He’s the front-runner
In case you missed it, Bernie Sanders is now, for all practical purposes, the front-runner in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. The Vermont socialist pulled in $18 million in the first three months of 2019, most of it from small donors. His nearest rival, Kamala Harris, collected $12 […] Read more »
Why do white evangelicals still staunchly support Donald Trump?
A recent Pew Research poll found that 69 percent of white evangelicals approve of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president of the United States. This number is slightly lower than previous polls, some of which had white evangelical support for Trump as high as 78 percent. We […] Read more »
Why Identity Politics Could Be Good Politics For Democrats In 2020
… The case for Democrats both running on populism and centering their electoral strategy around appealing to Midwestern white voters without college degrees is fairly strong. After all, polls show that voters are more aligned with the Democrats on some high-profile economic issues than on some hot-button cultural ones. … […] Read more »
The 2020 Electorate
A durable finding from political science research is that people who self-identify as “Independent” but who admit to leaning towards one party or the other in a follow up question behave very similarly to their partisan counterparts. Increasingly, research is treating these Independent “leaners” as soft partisans and distinguishing “pure” […] Read more »
Sanders sharpens the choice Democrats face on health care
Congressional Democrats are locking arms to protect the Affordable Care Act — the party’s signature achievement during Barack Obama’s presidency — as President Donald Trump renews his efforts to repeal it. With one prominent exception. In media interviews last week, Sen. Bernie Sanders — among the front-runners for the party’s […] Read more »