Joe Biden might seem like the 2020 candidate of anachronism. He’s old in a party that skews young; a white, straight candidate courting an increasingly diverse electorate; an old-school liberal in a party moving to the left; and more conventionally credentialed than hot commodities such as South Bend, Ind., Mayor […] Read more »
U.S. Twitter users are younger, more educated and more likely to be Democrats than general public
Twitter is a modern public square where many voices discuss, debate and share their views. Media personalities, politicians and the public turn to social networks for real-time information and reactions to the day’s events. But compared with the U.S. public overall, which voices are represented on Twitter? To examine this […] Read more »
The emerging demographic divides in support for 2020 Democrats
There is still another entire NFL season between us and the first voting in the 2020 presidential primaries. If you started counting right now, one number every second, you’d be past 24.5 million by the time Iowans started showing up at their caucuses in February. There is a lot of […] Read more »
Evangelicals are now the key constituency in the Republican Party. They are reaping the benefits.
Last month, Pew Research Center found that President Donald Trump had a 69 percent approval rating among white evangelical Protestants, compared to around 40 percent with the entire nation. When the Republicans nominated the thrice-married serial philanderer with precious little knowledge of the Bible, some pundits took this as a […] Read more »
Republicans have a post-Trump identity crisis on the horizon
Republicans are enjoying their ride in the White House and basking in the glow of a divided Democratic presidential field, but a monumental identity crisis is looming for the GOP. Whether you think President Donald Trump won’t be president in two months, two years or six years, Republicans are going […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Scares a Lot of People, and Quite a Few of Them Are Democrats
… I asked a group of Democratic and liberal-leaning consultants, pollsters, economists and political scientists what the likelihood of a Sanders’ nomination was, what his prospects would be in the general election, and how Democratic House and Senate candidates might fare with Sanders at the top of the ticket. When […] Read more »