… Republicans have long courted rural voters. Democrats need to do a better job at that. To win in 2020, the eventual Democratic nominee needs to increase the Democrats’ share of rural votes and not cede them to Republicans. This is within reach. From 2012 to 2016, Democrats lost 11 […] Read more »
Republicans and the 2020 Election
We wanted to share some important trends we are seeing in regards to 2020 turnout, improving numbers for the Republican party’s image, new work we are doing about political ideology, as well as highlight some of the challenges facing Republican candidates this cycle. We also focus on some elements of […] Read more »
The Democratic Electorate
The current conventional wisdom, expressed for example in this NYT Upshot piece, as well as by Bret Stephens on MSNBC yesterday (June 5) is that the vocal “left” of the Democratic party has lost touch with the authentic base of the party, and therefore risks re-electing Trump by veering too […] Read more »
The Religious Left Has a Numbers Problem
… The idea that this large and influential “religious right” could be countered by a “religious left” has bounced around for a long time, but has gained currency this year — in part because of the self-identified religiosity of Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana. […] Read more »
Biden’s bounce stabilizes, leaving him in an enviable position
… On Tuesday, CNN and its polling partners at SSRS released a new poll of the 2020 Democratic primary field. Former vice president Joe Biden has the support of 32 percent of Democrats, trailed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) with 18 percent. No other candidate is in the double-digits. … […] Read more »
Rumblings from Trump’s base could shape Democrats’ choice for 2020
President Donald Trump’s political base may not be as impregnable as commonly assumed. And that could have big implications not only for the Democrats’ strategy against Trump in 2020 but also for their choice of a presidential nominee. Detailed new research by the Democratic voter-targeting firm Catalist found that the […] Read more »