Few books are as well-matched to the moment of their publication as Ezra Klein’s “Why We’re Polarized.” President Trump has just become the third president ever to be impeached — and the first one where the votes have fallen almost perfectly along party lines. Klein’s careful book explains how different […] Read more »
Sanders, Biden are neck-and-neck in new NBC/WSJ national poll
Just days before the first votes are counted in the Democratic primary, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll finds Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden statistically tied at the top of the Democratic field. Sanders gets 27 percent support from Democratic primary voters around […] Read more »
The day the impeachment trial began, data made clear how it was likely to end
… The Trump impeachment comes at a moment when views of the president by party and congressional partisanship have never been further apart. To be removed from office (convicted on the charges of impeachment), Trump would need to see some 20 Republican senators vote against him. With Republican voters strongly […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders, and How Indian Food Can Predict Vote Choice
When was the last time you had vindaloo or tandoori chicken? Chances are if you’re a Democrat in Iowa supporting Joe Biden, it has been a while. The latest New York Times/Siena College poll asked 584 possible Iowa Democratic caucusgoers lots of typical political questions, like whether they were Democrats […] Read more »
Take Two: Can Sanders Broaden His Base?
Bernie Sanders begins his second bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in possession of something he never attained in 2016: A competitive chance of winning. CONT. Rhodes Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball Read more »
Democrats’ Dilemma: Ideology, Electability, and the 2020 Presidential Nomination in Iowa and the Nation
Voters in primary elections generally have two major goals: advancing their policy preferences and winning the general election. This can lead to a dilemma when these goals are in conflict. For many voters in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries and caucuses, that dilemma is very real. That is because of […] Read more »