In general, the Republican Party gets between 5 and 10 percent of the Black vote and less than a third of the Hispanic vote nationally. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Clare Malone discusses the series of choices the GOP made, spanning decades, that made it an overwhelmingly […] Read more »
Cracks in the Republican Party establishment are getting bigger
Throughout Donald Trump’s chaotic, turbulent, and unconventional presidency the other leaders of the Republican Party have stood by him to a remarkable degree. … Early May saw some small cracks in that support, mostly among the Republican governors who did not side with Trump on re-opening up the economy early. […] Read more »
Trump Wants a Backlash. Can He Whip One Into Shape?
The public response to the demonstrations over the killing of George Floyd is now beginning to take shape more clearly along familiar ideological lines — in ways that are likely to propel politics this year and beyond, dividing left and right as Democrats and Republicans take opposing stands on the […] Read more »
Charles Booker, Jamaal Bowman And The 7 Competing Camps In Black Politics
… There are now, in my view, at least seven fairly distinct camps among Black political figures — concentrated in the Democratic Party but also stretching into the GOP. These groupings — which come from my own reporting and talking to experts, rather than any specific data set — are […] Read more »
Democracy Maybe: Attitudes on Authoritarianism in America
The overwhelming majority of Americans embrace democracy. Consistently over the past three years, 87 percent of Americans say that a democratic political system is a good way of governing the country. At least 80 percent of Americans rate the importance of living in a democracy as an 8 or higher […] Read more »
Trump’s Self-Inflicted Wound: Losing Swing Voters As He Plays to His Base
Since the day he was sworn into office, President Trump has pursued policies and practiced politics with a single-minded focus on bedrock Republicans, showing little interest in appealing to independent voters. That has made him one of the most powerful figures ever in his party, and rewarded him with strong […] Read more »