Walker Surging in Iowa Poll as Bush Struggles

Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker is surging, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush is an also-ran and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is dominating in a new poll of Iowans likely to vote in the nation’s first presidential nominating contest. The Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll, taken Monday through Thursday, […] Read more »

New Iowa Poll: Romney Would Have Faced Many Campaign Hurdles

Mitt Romney would have faced numerous challenges in the presidential nomination lead-off state of Iowa if he had decided to enter the 2016 presidential contest, a new Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows. Forty percent of Republicans likely to participate in the 2016 Iowa caucuses view Romney unfavorably, up […] Read more »

Skipping Out On Iowa

First, let me say that I really do like Iowa. Of course the weather is terrible, but the people are nice and politically engaged. Des Moines has turned into a pretty good restaurant town and the hotels there are WAY better than the ones in Manchester, New Hampshire. That said, […] Read more »

The Clinton-Warren Binary

… Despite all the talk about a “yearning” for a more liberal candidate from the Democratic base, we see no evidence – at least at this point – that liberals are unhappy with Hillary Clinton. She scored an 88 percent favorable rating among “solid liberals” in Pew’s Typology Poll. Compare […] Read more »

Senate Battleground Poll: Women’s Reproductive Health Remains an Electoral Priority

While the continuing economic struggles of everyday Americans played a central role in the 2014 election, protecting women’s access to health care, including abortion, played an important part as well. A new NARAL Pro-Choice America and Planned Parenthood Action Fund survey in four key Senate battleground states demonstrates that voters […] Read more »

Something Funny Happened In Iowa, And It May Hurt Democrats In 2016

Republican Sen.-elect Joni Ernst easily won her race in Iowa last Tuesday, beating Democrat Bruce Braley by 8.5 percentage points. Her victory wasn’t shocking, but its size was (to everyone except pollster Ann Selzer, that is). The final FiveThirtyEight projection had Ernst winning by just 1.5 percentage points. What the […] Read more »