It’s time to acknowledge a milestone in the 2016 GOP primary. No, it’s not that Jeb Bush has broken his paleo diet. Rather, it’s that the leader in the Iowa polls is no longer the weakest frontrunner in caucus history! CONT. Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Visualizing the GOP’s 2016 Bracket
The Republicans running for president in 2016 will all compete in the same primary, but they won’t all be chasing the same voters, especially at the start. Instead, the candidates start out fighting to emerge as the front-runner among a smaller subgroup—in some ways like college basketball teams fighting their […] Read more »
In Early Polling, Walker Stands Apart
Can Scott Walker keep his balance? That’s quickly become one of the most consequential early questions as the 2016 Republican presidential race begins to take shape at gatherings like the closely-watched Conservative Political Action Conference outside Washington on Thursday and Friday. Like other polls of early sentiment among Republican voters, […] Read more »
Poll: The Allegedly Anti-Islamic Views of Iowa Republicans, Important?
Bloomberg recently announced its latest poll found that “nearly 40% of likely [Iowa] Republican caucus-goers consider Islam inherently violent.” While a majority (53%) consider the religion “inherently peaceful,” the article’s concern was with the substantial number of GOP voters who seem to have a negative view of Islam. By contrast, […] Read more »
The GOP Domestic Divide Vs. Dems ISIS Split
One of the biggest assets for Democrats – especially for Hillary Clinton – going into this next election is the fact that they are much more ideologically united than the GOP. From social issues to economic ones, the overwhelming majority of Democrats are on the same page. … Not so […] Read more »
2016 polls show Clinton leads in key states, GOP field wide open
Less than a year before the first presidential contests begin, a trio of new NBC News/Marist polls show that the Republican race is wide open in the early nominating states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »