Donald Trump is on top in Iowa, Ben Carson is hot on his heels, and Bernie Sanders has flown past Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. That’s the snapshot polls captured this week. It’s a far cry from the Bush-Clinton horse race that many had predicted going into the 2016 campaign […] Read more »
CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton remains strong in Iowa
The first CNN/ORC poll of likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton firmly in the lead in the state that kicks off the nation’s nominating contests, holding a 50% to 31% lead over upstart Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Vice President Joe Biden, who has yet to decide whether to […] Read more »
CNN/ORC Poll: Trump tops in Iowa as Scott Walker drops
Donald Trump has a significant lead in the race to win over likely Iowa caucus-goers, according to the first CNN/ORC poll in the state this cycle. Trump tops the field with 22% and is the candidate seen as best able to handle top issues including the economy, illegal immigration and […] Read more »
The Next Phase of the G.O.P. Race Starts Now
Most of the important action in the Republican presidential race has been out of sight, as candidates have courted donors and party leaders before formally jumping into the race. The first debate on Thursday starts a new phase, as the campaign begins to play out much more in front of […] Read more »
Why Donald Trump May Be Weaker Than a Recent Poll Suggests
No matter the subject, for surveys to make sense, they have to be sampling the correct population. … So, with Sunday’s NBC News/Marist University polls in Iowa and New Hampshire igniting a flood of news coverage highlighting Donald Trump’s “surge” (Politico) and “strong” showing (NBC and the New York Times), […] Read more »
Why is Hillary Clinton viewed so unfavorably in early primary states?
Recent surveys suggest that Hillary Clinton may be more reliant on the non-white vote in November 2016 than you might have assumed. A poll released Sunday from NBC/Marist reinforces one from last week by Quinnipiac University that found her to be as unpopular as Donald Trump in key swing states. […] Read more »