Republican front-runner Donald Trump isn’t going away anytime soon, I now believe. … I have believed and been arguing that once Iowa Republicans start to see the caucuses as an opportunity to select the next president, rather than an opportunity to express their frustration and anger, they will turn away […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Leads Hillary Clinton by 9 in New Hampshire, Gains in Iowa
Bernie Sanders has jumped out to a nine-point lead over front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, and he’s gained ground on her among Iowa voters in the Democratic presidential race, according to a pair of brand-new NBC News/Marist polls. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Hillary Clinton Relying on Southern Primaries to Fend Off Rivals
Hillary Rodham Clinton’s presidential campaign is methodically building a political firewall across the South in hopes of effectively locking up the Democratic nomination in March regardless of any early setbacks in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. … Mrs. Clinton’s Southern strategy shows in sharp relief the imprint […] Read more »
Iowa’s Hidden Winners and Losers
Selzer and Co. President J. Ann Selzer and Bloomberg Politics ad and polling analyst Ken Goldstein discuss the results of the latest Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll on “With All Due Respect.” Bloomberg Politics Read more »
In Era of Super PACs and Internet, Road to White House Still Runs Through Iowa and New Hampshire
… Since the parties in 1972 decisively shifted authority for picking their presidential nominees from insiders to voters, the only reliable formula for success has been to win the Iowa caucus, the New Hampshire primary, or both, and to ride a wave of momentum into the larger states that follow. […] Read more »
The Science Behind Trump-Mania
Donald Trump’s startling transformation from reality TV star to serious presidential contender in the eyes of some key Republican voters happened because he’s been able to sell himself as the straight-talker most candidates aspire to be, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows. A look underneath the poll’s headline […] Read more »