… This is one of the central paradoxes of the 2016 presidential campaign. The economy is, by virtually any measure, drastically improved from when President Obama took office nearly seven years ago. And yet poll after poll reveals a national electorate that is deeply skeptical of that progress. In one […] Read more »
In Iowa, Hillary Clinton and the outsiders hold the cards
In just under three months, voters in Iowa will gather at caucus sites across the state in the first event of the 2016 presidential nominating contest. And a new CNN/ORC poll finds those voters tilting heavily in Hillary Clinton’s favor on the Democratic side, and divided between Donald Trump and […] Read more »
Clinton’s primary advantage
Political contests can be illuminated in a variety of ways. We can analyze them through the prism of candidate images, issue dynamics or voters’ values, among many others. Perhaps the most important way to understand the current Democratic presidential primary contest is the simplest: through demographics. CONT. Mark Mellman (Mellman […] Read more »
Why an Iowa Poll Is Unfair to Bernie Sanders
I haven’t had much good news for Bernie Sanders supporters this year, so let me go out of my way to provide some today: There are very good reasons to question a new Monmouth poll that shows Hillary Rodham Clinton leading by 41 percentage points in Iowa. Most other polls […] Read more »
CBS/YouGov: Clinton on top in Iowa, gains in New Hampshire
Bolstered by Iowa Democratic caucus-goers who say she won the recent debate, Hillary Clinton now has an edge over Bernie Sanders in Iowa. She’s up three points there, after re-allocating the supporters of Vice President Joe Biden. Those caucus-goers were then asked who’d they support if Biden decided not to […] Read more »
Trump, Carson lead GOP in Iowa; Trump keeps big lead in NH, SC
The Republican nomination fight continues to be dominated by political newcomers Donald Trump and Ben Carson. In Iowa, Carson has moved up to tie Trump. In South Carolina and New Hampshire, there is Donald Trump with a large lead, and then there is everyone else. CONT. CBS News View More: […] Read more »