With less than two months before the official kick-off of the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton has an edge in Iowa, the nation’s first contest, and a big lead in South Carolina, where she is ahead of Sanders by two-to-one, while Bernie Sanders still leads in New Hampshire. Former Maryland […] Read more »
CBS/YouGov online poll: Ted Cruz leads in Iowa; Donald Trump stays atop NH, SC
Donald Trump, the national front-runner, keeps his big lead in two of the three early states of New Hampshire and South Carolina, but now Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has moved past Trump into a lead of his own in Iowa. CONT. CBS News Read more »
GOP’s Three-Way Split Could Lift Social Conservatives
The quest for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination has turned into a race with three big lanes – establishment voters and social conservatives, plus Donald Trump‘s coalition of blue collar GOP voters. In setting the stage for a possible three-candidate showdown for the GOP nomination, this split bodes particularly well […] Read more »
Trump’s Biggest Obstacle
Last week’s Crystal Ball repeated its refrain that Donald Trump is very unlikely to get the Republican presidential nomination. However, it issued the caveat that “[i]t would be easier to make our argument if we could explain precisely how and by whom the real estate tycoon will be dethroned.” Who […] Read more »
Clinton Increases Iowa Lead Over Sanders
Hillary Clinton has expanded her lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa to nine points among likely Democratic caucus-goers thanks to support from women, seniors, the wealthy and concerns over terrorism. Yet if the Vermont Senator can turn out first-time caucus goers and younger Iowans, he could pose a threat to […] Read more »
Ted Cruz taps into disaffected conservatives’ anger in a bold play that just might work
All year long, smart Republicans have been whispering: Keep a close eye on Ted Cruz. He’s got a message that appeals to the party’s most conservative voters. He’s running a good campaign, well-organized and well-funded. He’s going to be a finalist — and he might just win the nomination. Well, […] Read more »