Donald Trump recently appeared on the Fox News Channel show “Fox and Friends” to declare, “Everybody hates Ted.” He meant Senator Ted Cruz, of course, who is the latest candidate to challenge Mr. Trump’s lead in the polls. But does everybody hate Mr. Cruz? The answer is a clear no. […] Read more »
The Four Big Questions About Donald Trump’s Chances
Donald Trump’s path to the Republican nomination has become a lot clearer over the last month. Some prominent members of the party’s beleaguered establishment have backed him against Ted Cruz, and Mr. Trump now leads in Iowa. It gives him a chance to run the table in the early states […] Read more »
Trump Strong in Three Early States as Clinton and Sanders Battle
With just four days to go until the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Ted Cruz with a seven-point lead among likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers, while Hillary Clinton remains just three points in front of Bernie Sanders on the Democratic side, according to a trio of new NBC […] Read more »
Iowa: At Last
As the 2016 presidential race officially begins, both party contests are in a place that we, and many others, did not expect them to be. On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton faces a stern challenge from a stronger-than-expected foe, Bernie Sanders. And the Republicans could be on the verge […] Read more »
Ann Selzer Is The Best Pollster In Politics
… When Homer wrote of his hero Odysseus, he was “that godlike man.” The D.C. poets use the same laudatory epithet-style when they sing of Selzer; she is uniformly “the great” or “most respected” or, as I saw on a book jacket recently while walking through the Des Moines airport, […] Read more »
A Time for Culling, Not for Winning
… Neither party’s nomination is likely to be settled by the outcomes in Iowa or New Hampshire, or even the two combined. The Republican race is likely to be determined much closer to Memorial Day than New Year’s Day, and the Democratic nomination should be obvious by Easter, quite possibly […] Read more »