Over the last several weeks, the story of the Iowa caucuses has become the battle between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. … New data from the latest poll, and interviews with the candidates’ campaign managers, shed light on the strategy, and the impact, of the clash that could decide the […] Read more »
The Enduring Value of Public Polls
In a primary season where the only conclusion that makes sense is that very little has made sense. Rigorous, scientific public polls have provided a very useful road map. As fellow pollster Gary Langer has commented: although public polls, the good and the bad, are often mixed together like champagne, […] Read more »
The Best Pollster In Iowa Just Released Its Final Survey — How Accurate Has It Been?
The final Des Moines Register poll was just released, showing Donald Trump leading the Republican field in Iowa with 28 percent, Ted Cruz with 23 percent and Marco Rubio with 15 percent. Hillary Clinton was ahead of Bernie Sanders, 45 percent to 42 percent, on the Democratic side. The political […] Read more »
Why This Is the Iowa Poll That Everyone Was Waiting For
Perhaps no political poll is more eagerly anticipated and receives more attention than the last Des Moines Register poll before the Iowa caucuses. … The hype ahead of the survey is easy to understand. Conducted by Ann Selzer, it has one of the most impressive track records in polling — […] Read more »
Clinton Has Slim Lead Over Sanders in Iowa Poll
Hillary Clinton is holding onto a slim lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa as Democrats prepare for Monday’s caucuses, though an outpouring of young voters and those who say the system is rigged could enable Sanders to pull off an upset, according to a new poll. CONT. Margaret Talev, Bloomberg […] Read more »
Trump Overtakes Cruz in Final Iowa Poll Before Caucuses
Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in the final days before Iowa’s caucuses, with the fate of the race closely tied to the size of Monday evening’s turnout, especially among evangelical voters and those attending for the first time, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows. CONT. John McCormick, […] Read more »