With polling all over the map, could four different Democrats split the first four states?

With less than 60 days before the first votes are counted in Iowa, four candidates are in the mix or leading in at least one of the four early-voting states. Combined with the lack of a dominant frontunner nationally, Democrats can start asking a question that’s maybe not so far-fetched: […] Read more »

Why White Iowans Want a Nominee Who Can Appeal to Nonwhite Voters

They share awkward glances at events where nearly everyone looks like them. They take comfort in reminding one another that they propelled Barack Obama to the White House. They swear that their values and priorities are representative of more than a Corn Belt farm state. With less than two months […] Read more »

What Iowa Voters’ Second-Choice Picks Can Tell Us

Polling in presidential primary campaigns is notoriously fluid. In an effort to gauge movement among voters as they might change their mind and as candidates pop in and out of the race, pollsters will often ask voters about both their first-choice candidate and their backup. This question has been particularly […] Read more »