The most consequential moment of the Iowa caucuses won’t be the first time that people across the state line up in support of their preferred candidate on February 3. It will be when they do it for the second time — and it has the chance to give supporters of […] Read more »
The Iowa caucuses look like a hot mess
… The Iowa caucuses are now a little more than two weeks away, and the electoral picture is as messy as ever. They are set to be the most unpredictable caucuses in more than a decade, and we could have multiple candidates claiming victory. If you look back over time, […] Read more »
New Figures Show Billionaire Candidates Spending Big, With Little Return
The candidates in the top 1% have accounted for about 78% of the ad spending in the presidential race so far, according to new numbers. The two self-funding billionaires in the Democratic primary, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg and activist business executive Tom Steyer, have spent the most […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Oh, Iowa!
It’s feast or famine! A bunch of new Iowa polls have been released, but their results greatly differ. Why, and can we accurately get a sense of where the Iowa contest stands? We pick up those questions on Poll Hub. But, first, Tuesday was the last chance Iowa caucus-goers had […] Read more »
Warren Goes on Offense
This week, we break down the winners and losers of the final Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses. Plus, we deep-dive into two new polls out of the Hawkeye State. Then, we discuss what Cory Booker’s exit might reveal about Democratic voters’ priorities. The Forecast Fest Read more »
Think impeachment has been a self-defeating crusade for Democrats? Think again
The recently unveiled Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll is considered the gold standard for deciphering the opening-gun Feb. 3 Democratic caucuses. But a polling question asked of a sample of the entire Iowa electorate may be more important for understanding the upcoming impeachment trial. The question never mentioned the words […] Read more »