The Iowa caucuses could be messy. On Monday night, for the first time, there will be four sets of results, and there is no guarantee that the same candidate will win them all. Four different candidates could even declare victory, with the right combination of votes, turnout, geography and luck. […] Read more »
2020 Democrats Are Bringing Butter Knives to a Gunfight
Heading into tonight’s Iowa caucus, the clock may be ticking faster on the Democratic presidential candidates than they believe. All of the leading contenders have campaigned energetically and extensively across the state during the past few days, but none have moved to sharply contrast themselves with their rivals. … Inherent […] Read more »
Focus on Rural America Iowa Caucus Poll
… Our last statewide poll had Biden out in front with Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders each in close contention for the second tier. This time, we went into the field from January 28-30th and polled 300 likely caucusgoers statewide through landlines, cell phones, and text-to-web. In first we found Pete […] Read more »
Why the Iowa caucuses are important
The Iowa Democratic caucuses are just hours away and with them, the true start of the 2020 election. But just what can a single state with a relatively small number of delegates up for grabs tell us about the rest of the primary season? If history is any guide, the […] Read more »
As caucus night approaches, undecided Iowans are making their decisions
… Never in recent election years have there been so many voters in Iowa who are either undecided or who say they could change their minds before Monday night, whether activists or sometime caucus attendees. Iowans are weighing head versus heart, ideology versus electability, issues versus character and experience. It […] Read more »
Can Democrats Beat Trump in Iowa in November?
… For the last three presidential elections, Iowa has been a barometer of the nation’s vacillating political sentiments. Twice it broke overwhelmingly for Barack Obama, who beat John McCain by nine points here in 2008. It swung back to give Mr. Trump a nine-point victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016. […] Read more »