Election forecasters took a lot of blame for getting the outcome of the presidential race wrong. But Nate Silver, editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, says the outrage is misplaced because journalists and the public were warned that the race was close. He admits that while there were polling errors, they weren’t out […] Read more »
The Election Of Donald Trump
A special episode on Donald Trump, how he won the presidency, and what his victory means for the future of our country and the future of our politics. This episode, your entire NPR Politics Podcast team: host/campaign reporter Sam Sanders, host/White House correspondent Tamara Keith, campaign reporter Sarah McCammon, editor/correspondent […] Read more »
Media Culpa? The Press and the Election Result
Since Tuesday night, there has been a lot of handwringing about how the media, with all its fancy analytics, failed to foresee Donald Trump’s victory. … Whatever went wrong with the polls in this country, they inevitably colored perceptions. … The prediction models didn’t help things. On Tuesday morning, FiveThirtyEight’s […] Read more »
How the 2016 Election Exposed America’s Racial and Cultural Divides
The 2016 election exposed an America of deep divides over race, ethnicity and culture — a nation carved into two large coalitions, roughly equal in size but radically different in demographics and desires. … The electorate coalitions in 2016 were similar to the 2012 election, with one major exception: white […] Read more »
Why Hillary Clinton lost Pennsylvania: The real story
The emerging conventional wisdom is that Hillary Clinton fell short in the Rust Belt states because her campaign took them for granted and failed to turn out her supporters. In the case of Pennsylvania, this thesis is demonstrably false. CONT. William A. Galston, Brookings Institution Read more »
The hard question isn’t why Clinton lost — it’s why Trump won
… One question I’ve heard people ask since Clinton’s loss is how it can be about race if she lost states Obama won, and if Obama won more white voters than she did. This is not the puzzle many are making it out to be. There’s a long and deep […] Read more »