“All models are wrong,” the statistician George Box once said. This year was no exception. On Oct. 18, a model built by Donald J. Trump’s campaign gave him an 8 percent chance of winning, Bloomberg has reported. At that point in the race, The Upshot’s model gave him the same […] Read more »
The unheard winning economic agenda
Last week, the American people were determined to vote for change – change that would crash the dominance of special interests over government and bring bold economic policies so the economy would work for everyone, not just the wealthy and well-connected. That narrative underlines why Donald Trump received an audience […] Read more »
Where did all of the Democratic voters go?
Hillary Clinton and other party leaders are asking that question after her stunning upset loss to Donald Trump. … Clinton leads the popular vote, but she received about 5 million fewer votes than President Obama did in 2012. At the same time, Trump won about as many votes as Mitt […] Read more »
‘Demographics Aren’t Destiny’ And Four Other Things This Election Taught Me
The 2016 election is in the books. Donald Trump won; Hillary Clinton lost. But it will take a while — weeks and months — to sift through the results, so be wary of any stories drawing sweeping conclusions about the country (it’s still the same nation that elected President Obama […] Read more »
How Donald Trump Won and Almost All of Us Missed It
… Political polling nationally and in crucial swing states like North Carolina and Florida showed a tight race, but the polling in Pennsylvania and sparse data from Wisconsin and Michigan showed Clinton with a solid edge. So what happened? The polls hit Clinton’s support dead on but underestimated key Trump […] Read more »
How what degree you have predicts how you vote, in 1 startling chart
In the wake of the stunning victory by Donald Trump six days ago, there’s a search on to better understand the American electorate that produced this most unorthodox of president-elects. Race has been at the forefront of that conversation — and for good reason. … But education level also provides a […] Read more »