… As Democrats evaluate the state of their party and look to move forward, they should remember that each election cycle is unique, and the 2018 and 2020 elections will be very different from the past four elections because a Republican occupies the White House. Obviously, the makeup of the […] Read more »
‘Serious Voter Fraud’? Um, No
Usually, the burden of proof for an outlandish claim rests on the person making the assertion. But Donald J. Trump is a master of making big claims, challenging others to disprove them and benefiting from the debate. On Sunday, he alleged that Hillary Clinton won the popular vote because of […] Read more »
War Is Peace. Freedom Is Slavery. Trump Won In A Landslide.
Donald Trump’s campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway — perhaps seeking to push back on the increasing attention to Hillary Clinton’s widening lead in the national popular vote — has been touting her boss’s margin of victory in the Electoral College. 306. Landslide. Blowout. Historic. https://t.co/ObYZDo8cBq — Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) November 28, […] Read more »
Why I Support An Election Audit, Even Though It’s Unlikely To Change The Outcome
Here at FiveThirtyEight, we’ve been skeptical of claims of irregularities in the presidential election. As we pointed out last week, there are no obvious statistical anomalies in the results in swing states based on the type of voting technology that each county employed. Instead, demographic differences, particularly the education levels […] Read more »
CNN/ORC poll: A nation divided, and is it ever
After a bruising presidential election featuring the two least liked major-party candidates in recent history, more than 8-in-10 Americans say the country is more deeply divided on major issues this year than in the past several years, according to a new CNN/ORC poll. And more than half say they are […] Read more »
Some thoughts about the reports of supposed evidence of election irregularities in MI, PA, and WI
The Internet lit up on Monday over the news, reported in New York Magazine, that a team of computer scientists and lawyers had reported to the Clinton campaign that “they’ve found persuasive evidence that results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania may have been manipulated or hacked.” … Many of my […] Read more »