A new analysis of labor data offers insight into why Donald Trump delivered surprise wins in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Yes, he swept the Rust Belt. But more specifically, he won over voters in counties that were most dependent on blue-collar work — including hordes of longtime Democratic voters. The […] Read more »
The ‘Divided States of America’?
In its end-of-year issue, Time magazine rather unsurprisingly named Donald Trump its “Person of the Year.” More surprisingly, there was a subtitle under Trump’s cover photo that stated, “President of the Divided States of America.” CONT. V. Lance Tarrance, Gallup Read more »
U.S. public sees Russian role in campaign hacking, but is divided over new sanctions
Most Americans believe Russia was behind the hacks of the Democrats during the 2016 presidential campaign. But they are divided on whether to impose further sanctions on Russia, beyond the steps President Barack Obama took last month. CONT. Jocelyn Kiley, Pew Read more »
How America Changed During Barack Obama’s Presidency
Barack Obama campaigned for the U.S. presidency on a platform of change. As he prepares to leave office, the country he led for eight years is undeniably different. Profound social, demographic and technological changes have swept across the United States during Obama’s tenure, as have important shifts in government policy […] Read more »
Political Pollsters Reflect On What Went Wrong In 2016
2016 was a year of failure for political polling in several Western democracies. France, Britain and the U.S. were all taken by surprise after polls underestimated the support for conservative presidential candidates and Brexit. Now, pollsters in all three countries are reflecting on what went wrong. All Things Considered, NPR Read more »
Registered Voters Who Stayed Home Probably Cost Clinton The Election
Registered voters who didn’t vote on Election Day in November were more Democratic-leaning than the registered voters who turned out, according to a post-election poll from SurveyMonkey, shared with FiveThirtyEight. In fact, Donald Trump probably would have lost to Hillary Clinton had Republican- and Democratic-leaning registered voters cast ballots at […] Read more »