… This election will be studied and debated for years to come. But as I gathered with colleagues recently in New Orleans for the American Association for Public Opinion Research’s annual conference, some things became clearer to me. For one, the trouble with the 2016 election wasn’t about the polls. […] Read more »
If Clinton had won, would her poll numbers be any better than Trump’s?
… If Hillary Clinton were president, would her approval ratings be much better than Trump’s? We’ll admit up front that there’s no real way to know the answer to this question. After all, Clinton’s actions in office would have varied from Trump’s to a large degree — perhaps a larger […] Read more »
Study: No One Issue Clearly Unites 5 Groups Of Trump Voters
Emily Ekins pushes back against the idea of one type of Trump voter. Her research for the Voter Study Group reveals the coalition that delivered President Trump the White House. Weekend Edition Sunday, NPR Read more »
Aversion to difference
Last week, I examined two of the three strands of conservative thinking — aversion to government and aversion to change — which Donald Trump melded together in his successful effort to capture the White House. Here I’ll focus on the third — aversion to difference — which mostly lay dormant […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton Unique With No Post-Election Image Gain
Americans are no more likely to view Hillary Clinton favorably than they were before last year’s presidential election. Forty-one percent have a favorable view of the 2016 Democratic presidential candidate, within the 41% to 43% range Gallup has recorded since November. CONT. Justin McCarthy, Gallup Read more »
What We Thought We Knew: The Polls’ Performance In 2016
Pollsters around the globe are under more scrutiny than ever before. While it will take time to investigate the polls’ strengths and weaknesses in the recent British general election, we now have an excellent summary of their performance in the US election. Last month, the American Association for Public Opinion […] Read more »