A longstanding topic of interest, the voting behavior of working class white population–and socioeconomic divides in voting patterns more broadly–once again attracted considerable attention during and after the 2016 election. Some assessments that have historically contextualized the low SES white vote have showed that this group voted more Republican than […] Read more »
‘Thanks, Comey,’ Says Team Trump
The polling analysts who worked for Donald Trump’s presidential campaign had a name for the many Americans who didn’t like him but didn’t like Hillary Clinton either: “double haters.” Many of these double haters seemed likely to vote anyway, given their long voting history. “They were a sizable bloc,” Joshua […] Read more »
Bad News For House Republicans: Clinton Won’t Be On The Ballot In 2018
… Midterm elections are different from those that take place in presidential election years. And midterm elections that take place with an unpopular president in office are very different from presidential election years that have two historically unpopular candidates at the top of the major-party tickets. Republican congressional candidates in […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton is less popular than Donald Trump because nobody will let the 2016 election end
Most of the time, the candidates who lose presidential elections collect a consolation prize: grudging public respect. … Within six months or so, people ask themselves: “Hey, why couldn’t this loser have shown this side of himself last year? I’d have voted for him!” Enter: Hillary Clinton, the first modern candidate […] Read more »
Finally, a Poll Trump Will Like: Clinton Is Even More Unpopular
For a president with historically low poll numbers, Donald Trump can at least find solace in this: Hillary Clinton is doing worse. Trump’s 2016 Democratic rival is viewed favorably by just 39 percent of Americans in the latest Bloomberg National Poll, two points lower than the president. … In contrast […] Read more »
Twitter’s Passion Politics
… To better understand how political discourse works on Twitter, we recently analyzed more than half a million public tweets on three political topics — same-sex marriage, gun control and climate change — in the year leading up to the 2016 election. Our research, which was published this month in […] Read more »