Hillary Clinton’s tragic 2016 campaign faced withering criticism in the press, social media, and now, in Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes’s inside account, Shattered. From my vantage point as lead pollster for the Democratic nominees in 1992 and 2000, part of the closing clutch of pollsters in 2004, and invited […] Read more »
CNN poll: 54% say Russia-backed content on social media moved 2016 election
Although President Donald Trump insists otherwise, most Americans say it’s likely that Russian-backed content on social media did affect the outcome of the 2016 election, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
The Media Has A Probability Problem
… In recent elections, the media has often overestimated the precision of polling, cherry-picked data and portrayed elections as sure things when that conclusion very much wasn’t supported by polls or other empirical evidence. … Probably the most important problem with 2016 coverage was confirmation bias — coupled with what […] Read more »
The Power of Voice: A new era of cause activation & social issue adoption
We are witnessing the rise of what may become the most vocal generation in nearly half a century. Each year since 2009, Achieve has studied millennials’ actions and behaviors related to causes. Each Millennial Impact Report adds to a body of knowledge about the generation born 1980-2000 that’s recognized by […] Read more »
What really happened in 2016, in 7 charts
If Hillary Clinton’s book, What Happened, has taught us anything, it’s that the internet is not done relitigating the 2016 Democratic primary or the general election. Underpinning it all is a sense that the outcome — President Donald Trump — is profoundly strange. … But the interpretive debate often becomes […] Read more »
AJC 2017 Survey of American Jewish Opinion on U.S., Global Issues
AJC’s Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion indicates widespread dissatisfaction with President Trump’s performance in office, and a significant rise in American Jewish fears of rising anti-Semitism. … Just 21% of the sample has a favorable opinion of the job President Trump has been doing, while 77% has an unfavorable […] Read more »