When it comes to making predictions about 2016, there are lots of important numbers to follow. The unemployment rate. Consumer confidence. The president’s approval rating. The horse race polls. But, in my mind, the most important data point to follow is the one which measures Americans’ desire to stay the […] Read more »
Clinton’s performance among white voters is very opponent-specific
The decline in support for Democrats in the South and among white (mostly working-class) voters has been well-documented. We’ve documented it ourselves: Here’s the South turning red; here’s non-college-graduate whites moving right. Ever since she declared that she might declare for president, there has been speculation that Hillary Clinton (D) […] Read more »
Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton Extend Run as Most Admired
Americans continue to name Hillary Clinton as the woman living anywhere in the world whom they admire most, and name Barack Obama as the man they admire most. Clinton has held the top women’s spot in each of the last 13 years and 17 of the last 18, with that […] Read more »
CNN/ORC Poll: Bush surges to 2016 GOP frontrunner
Jeb Bush is the clear Republican presidential frontrunner, surging to the front of the potential GOP pack following his announcement that he’s “actively exploring” a bid, a new CNN/ORC poll found. … Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is still far and away the favorite to take the Democratic nomination […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton *drops* to a 49-point lead for the Democrats’ 2016 nomination
The year 2014 brought a mixed bag for Hillary Clinton’s presidential hopes. Her popularity continued to decline, her book tour drew mixed reviews (along with her book), and some in the liberal wing of the part are urging Elizabeth Warren to challenge her for the Democratic presidential nomination. But her […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton the Early 2016 Frontrunner, But Barely
Call Hillary Clinton the early presidential frontrunner – but barely. That’s the result from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which finds that half of American voters – 50 percent – saying they could see themselves supporting her if she runs for the White House in 2016, while 48 […] Read more »