In her presidential campaign kick-off speech and in a subsequent interview with Iowa media, Hillary Clinton leaned pretty hard into the notion that electing her president would represent a major historical breakthrough. … But it probably isn’t an accident that she noted that she’d be the first female president as […] Read more »
The changing face of centrist campaigning
Imagine three presidents. The first sold a moderate message to win a three-way race with 49% of the vote. The second sold a conservative one and won with just under 51% of the vote. And the third ran a liberal campaign and won with just over 51% of the vote. […] Read more »
Clinton Leads in Early States, But Sanders Popular in New Hampshire
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic primary field by a wide margin in three early nominating states — though any Democrat who captures the party’s presidential title could be saddled with an albatross named Barack Obama. CONT. Reid Wilson, Morning Consult Read more »
The Legacy Trap
… Compared with Bill Clinton’s era, the Democratic Party today is more culturally liberal and economically populist. Compared with George W. Bush’s era, the GOP is more dogmatically committed to shrinking government. These changes have presented Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush with the common puzzle of appealing to parties that […] Read more »
How black voters could determine the 2016 election
… Democrats hope that high turnout rates among African Americans will be “sticky,” where voters motivated to cast ballots for Obama will transition into habitual voters in future years. But Democrats’ appeal to black voters could also matter a great deal in how much black turnout dips. Clinton is popular […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton and Wishful-Thinking Politics
Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign took a beating among some pundits this week for telling the truth: She’s going to employ a strategy focused on a narrow set of the most competitive states. In other words, she’s running as a modern presidential candidate. CONT. Brendan Nyhan (Dartmouth), New York Times Read more »