Increasingly bitter and aggressive attacks on President Trump managed to bolster his approval rating, which climbed 5 points to reach the second highest level of his presidency, the latest IBD/TIPP Poll finds. The July poll found that 41% approve of the job Trump is doing. That’s the first time he’s […] Read more »
Why Melania Trump isn’t as popular as Laura Bush or Michelle Obama
After being sidelined by kidney surgery last month, first lady Melania Trump has been slowly returning to the public spotlight. And Americans like her, for the most part. … Our recently published book “American Presidential Candidate Spouses: The Public’s Perspective” looks into the recent rise in Melania Trump’s approval – […] Read more »
Did Comey Cost Clinton the Election? Why We’ll Never Know
In one of the closest presidential elections in American history, anything and everything could have been decisive. But we’ll probably never know what really was. The letter about Hillary Clinton’s emails that the F.B.I. director James Comey sent to Congress in October 2016 is one of these potential factors. Mrs. […] Read more »
With Russia Claims, Clapper Crosses a Line
… James Clapper, the former director of national intelligence, claimed the Russians didn’t just meddle in U.S. politics, but actually tipped the election to Donald Trump. Our top intelligence officials are given extraordinary powers to keep the country safe, but with that power comes an obligation to use it responsibly, […] Read more »
How surprising was Trump’s victory? Evaluations of the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a new poll aggregation model
The U.S. presidential election results of 2016 surprised many poll-watchers, suggesting possible biases in estimated support for the major party candidates and posing a challenge for poll aggregation as a prediction tool. Using data from earlier elections and the 2016 campaign, we evaluated poll aggregation performance for the major prediction […] Read more »
Mark Penn, Ex-Clinton Aide, Dismisses Mueller Inquiry, and the Clintons Along With It
Mark J. Penn was one of the primary architects of President Bill Clinton’s re-election campaign in 1996 and served as chief strategist for Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign in 2008. Few people have done more to advance the Clinton cause in the last couple of decades. Which makes it all the […] Read more »