Political contests can be illuminated in a variety of ways. We can analyze them through the prism of candidate images, issue dynamics or voters’ values, among many others. Perhaps the most important way to understand the current Democratic presidential primary contest is the simplest: through demographics. CONT. Mark Mellman (Mellman […] Read more »
Republicans, Obsessed
Question: What’s the difference between the House Select Committee on Benghazi’s hearings last week and a train wreck? Answer: Once a train is coming off the rails, the passengers know it. When members of the select committee put Hillary Clinton in the pillory last week, they seemed blissfully unaware that […] Read more »
Why an Iowa Poll Is Unfair to Bernie Sanders
I haven’t had much good news for Bernie Sanders supporters this year, so let me go out of my way to provide some today: There are very good reasons to question a new Monmouth poll that shows Hillary Rodham Clinton leading by 41 percentage points in Iowa. Most other polls […] Read more »
Voters Are Negative on Clinton, Negative on GOP. Who Wins?
Republicans have an image problem; so do Democrats. But they’re different problems. For Republicans, the challenge is the poor image of their party. For Democrats, the challenge is the poor image that voters have of their likely nominee, Hillary Clinton. Recent polling shows that both problems are significant. As the […] Read more »
10 Days In October Revealed Hillary’s Prowess
For months the political punditry class was either blind or pretended it couldn’t see things that should have been clear when it came to Hillary Clinton’s strengths. When someone as well known as Hillary starts the race with 60% of the vote against a bunch of Democrats no one has […] Read more »
CBS/YouGov: Clinton on top in Iowa, gains in New Hampshire
Bolstered by Iowa Democratic caucus-goers who say she won the recent debate, Hillary Clinton now has an edge over Bernie Sanders in Iowa. She’s up three points there, after re-allocating the supporters of Vice President Joe Biden. Those caucus-goers were then asked who’d they support if Biden decided not to […] Read more »