… The Iowa Caucuses on Monday night can be expected to provide some clarity in the contests for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominations, but don’t expect too much. One way to look at the results is to think of what outcomes would surprise you, and change your assumptions about […] Read more »
Republicans and Democrats Brace for a Reality Check
American presidential campaigns have never been so thoroughly examined, probed and measured as in this election cycle. And the pollsters and pundits who cover them are about to get a reality check. The Iowa caucuses on Monday and the New Hampshire primary eight days later will begin to do what […] Read more »
Faith and the 2016 Campaign
The conventional wisdom in American politics has long been that someone who is not religious cannot be elected president of the United States. Most Americans have consistently said that it is important to them that the president have strong religious beliefs. And a new Pew Research Center survey finds that […] Read more »
Clinton Seen as Winner in November; A Trump Presidency Inspires Anxiety
Most Americans expect that Hillary Clinton would prevail against her leading GOP opponent in November, while Bernie Sanders’ chances are rated less well. The thought of Donald Trump as president inspires high levels of public anxiety. CONT. Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, ABC News Read more »
It’s Rubio Or Bust For Republicans Who Want To Win
… There are a lot of complex analyses of the 2016 election floating around. My own theory is quite straightforward: If Hillary Clinton is the nominee — and she remains a heavy favorite over Bernie Sanders — her fate largely rests with Republican voters’ decisions over the next few months. […] Read more »
Trump Strong in Three Early States as Clinton and Sanders Battle
With just four days to go until the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Ted Cruz with a seven-point lead among likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers, while Hillary Clinton remains just three points in front of Bernie Sanders on the Democratic side, according to a trio of new NBC […] Read more »