Donald Trump led almost all of the polls leading up to Monday night’s Iowa caucuses – just ask him. … So why did the public polls – including the gold-standard Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll – miss Cruz’s victory? There are some clues buried in the election results and […] Read more »
2016 Iowa caucuses: Two races decided by very different factors
Two very competitive contests in Iowa Monday night were decided by very different factors. Here are some key findings from the CBS News Iowa entrance poll. CONT. Stanley Feldman & Melissa Herrmann, CBS News Read more »
How the ‘Virtual Tie’ in Iowa Helps Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders is right: The Iowa Democratic caucuses were a “virtual tie,” especially after you consider that the results aren’t even actual vote tallies, but state delegate equivalents subject to all kinds of messy rounding rules and potential geographic biases. … But in the end, a virtual tie in Iowa […] Read more »
The two Democratic parties fight to a draw in Iowa
Two Democratic parties showed up to vote in Iowa on Monday night, and with nearly all of the delegates tallied, the result is essentially a tie. Entrance polling showed the Democratic party of Bernie Sanders is younger (he earned about six times as much support as Clinton from those under […] Read more »
Polls Show Preferences and Priorities in Iowa
Senator Ted Cruz won support among white evangelical voters, conservatives and those who were seeking a candidate who shares their values. Donald J. Trump did well among first-time caucusgoers and those who want the next president to be from outside the political establishment and bring change. Senator Marco Rubio found […] Read more »
Why Iowa Matters For Trump And Sanders
If there’s one thing almost every species of political journalist agrees upon — number-crunchy nerds and shoe-leather reporters have no real beef about this — it’s that Iowa matters. Iowa matters a lot. … It isn’t self-evident why the votes of a couple of hundred thousand people in a kooky […] Read more »