After a razor-thin victory in Iowa, Hillary Clinton’s senior strategist, Joel Benenson, dismissed those who are trying to diminish her first-place finish in the caucuses. CONT. Betsy Fischer Martin & Tammy Haddad, Bloomberg Politics Read more »
Sanders, Trump Still Favored in New Hampshire
New Hampshire, as usual, will not be inclined to ratify the result of its early-state rival, Iowa. In open seat races, it’s natural for New Hampshire to zag after Iowa zigs: In the modern era of presidential nominations starting in 1972, there have been 16 contested presidential primaries (seven for […] Read more »
How Hillary Clinton Could Lose by Winning
Hillary Clinton’s close call in Iowa has given her new reason to reflect on the old adage that history repeats itself—first as tragedy, then as farce. … But whether or not Sanders ultimately defeats Clinton, he has quickly spotlighted a glaring weakness in her candidacy: an inspiration gap, particularly among […] Read more »
What we can and can’t learn from the Iowa caucuses
If the Iowa caucus results were findings from a political poll, most people would see that they told us little about how the political winds were blowing. This is not just because Iowa caucus goers are unlikely to reflect the views of citizens nation-wide; there is a good chance that […] Read more »
The Iowa fallout
Last weekend, a leading conservative intellectual promised me Donald Trump would not win Iowa. “How can you be so sure?” I asked. “God,” he replied, “looks out for children, drunkards and the United States of America.” I’m not sure whether divine intervention prevented a national embarrassment, but as I watch […] Read more »
The Great Democratic Age Gap
Bernie Sanders answered two important questions with his strong showing in Iowa. But, despite his impressive finish, he’ll need to answer two more to truly threaten Hillary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination. The most powerful lesson from the Iowa caucus results is that Democrats are facing not just a […] Read more »