Two-thirds of New Hampshire Republican primary voters agree with Donald J. Trump’s proposal to temporarily bar Muslims from entering the United States. And they overwhelmingly express fear of another terrorist attack. On the Democratic side, young voters and those most concerned about inequality and political integrity gave Bernie Sanders a […] Read more »
Pushback Against the Political Order Boosts Both Trump and Sanders in N.H.
A powerful pushback against the established political order lifted Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders alike in New Hampshire, underscoring deep splits both within and between the Republican and Democratic parties. Trump was boosted to victory by broad support among voters seeking a political outsider, anger at the federal government, strong […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton just lost New Hampshire. Don’t assume she’ll win the next state, either.
… There is this perception that New Hampshire, which Bernie Sanders won Tuesday, is too white and too close to Sanders’s home state of Vermont for Clinton to win. After New Hampshire, though, the states get significantly more diverse; basically every one of the next couple dozen states to vote […] Read more »
New Hampshire Should Answer a Lot of Key Questions
The former New Hampshire governor John Sununu once said that “Iowa picks corn and New Hampshire picks presidents.” This year, New Hampshire may not live up to the billing — but it should nonetheless play a big role. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »
Monitoring Shifts in Presidential Candidates’ Images
Heading into Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary voting, the biggest shift we are monitoring in Americans’ big-picture look at the candidates comes among Democrats. Bernie Sanders’ image is becoming more positive to Democrats across the country by the day, even as Hillary Clinton’s sinks. I’ll get to the data in a […] Read more »
State of election markets: An interesting week saw Trump fall … then gain
An interesting and meaningful week saw Donald Trump fall after his results in Iowa and then gain after his results in New Hampshire (debate that is). Marco Rubio, after his strong third in Iowa, once again failed to capitalize on his moment by collapsing during the eighth Republican debate. But, […] Read more »