A month ago, the talk about Hillary Clinton’s campaign was of deja vu, with Bernie Sanders adopting Barack Obama’s 2008 model to challenge her from the left. … But where some observers have stressed the continuities with the 2008 nomination fight, others see the opposite: a role reversal. In this […] Read more »
State of election markets
Donald Trump dropped from almost certain to highly likely this week on the strength of (1) Mitt Romney openly pushing to a brokered convention and (2) his surprising loss in Maine (coupled with closer than expected wins in Kentucky and Louisiana). CONT. David Rothschild, PredictWise Read more »
Battleground Tracker online poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Michigan
Donald Trump holds the lead heading into the final days before the Michigan primary, looking to extend his overall delegate lead after a string of Super Tuesday wins. Trump is at 39 percent, Ted Cruz is in second place at 24 percent and Marco Rubio and John Kasich neck-and-neck for […] Read more »
Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Hold Big Leads in Michigan
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are leading their competitors by double digits in Michigan’s March 8 primary, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Trump is closer to what most Republicans believe than the ‘establishment’ candidates are
On Super Tuesday, Donald Trump continued his surprise series of wins, gaining seven out of the 11 states in play that day. In response, many are asking: Why have establishment candidates had such a hard time in this year’s Republican nomination contest? … To investigate, we have teamed up with […] Read more »
Trump’s Popularity in Context
Donald Trump is broadly unpopular with national adults, more so than any other major candidate of either party. Over the past week (Feb. 26-March 3), Trump was seen favorably by 30% of the country, while twice as many U.S. adults saw the GOP front-runner unfavorably (63%). But none of the […] Read more »