Ahead of the 2020 election, there’s been debate over whether the Democratic Party should try to win over voters who switched to Donald Trump in 2016 — after not having voted in Republican in 2012 . Where these Trump switchers stand politically might matter in this calculus, as certain analyses […] Read more »
Trump, the Economy & Wisconsin
Assorted details of the Badger State ahead of 2020 Trump approval by economic outlook by region in Wisconsin. Pooling 2018–19 data. Positive economic outlook helps approval a lot, though some 18% who expect economy to improve still disapprove. For those expecting stable economy, net negative approval, and very negative among […] Read more »
These Are the Mistakes Democrats Don’t Want to Repeat in 2020
… “We have created an electorate full of pundits and strategists, and the result is that we’re puzzling through not who we like but who we imagine someone else will like,” said Senator Brian Schatz, Democrat of Hawaii. “It’s a fool’s errand to imagine who will be appealing to someone […] Read more »
Americans Say They Would Vote For A Woman, But …
… For months now, voters have told reporters that they want to elect a woman — but after Hillary Clinton’s loss in 2016, they simply can’t imagine a woman winning against Trump. And this calculus is often justified by beliefs about other people’s sexism — an Ipsos/Daily Beast poll in […] Read more »
It’s a Question No One Says They Want to Ask. But the Women Running for President Keep Hearing It.
Some people whisper it, some apologize for it, and some are very careful to mention their neighbors — their neighbors would be the ones to ask. “Do you really think a woman could be elected president?” … Privately, Democratic strategists, candidates and officials say they’ve been alarmed by how deeply […] Read more »
No, Russian Twitter trolls didn’t demonstrably push Trump’s poll numbers higher
There will always be an audience for a particular type of story about the 2016 election — claims that Russia’s social media activity powered President Trump’s eventual victory. There is a sizable portion of the American public that believes Trump’s electoral-vote victory was illegitimate; some large percentage of that group […] Read more »