Lots of commentary has accompanied the “Trump Bump,” as the alleged bump in Donald Trump’s poll numbers has been called. While most polls had Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, up by a solid 10-point margin as late as March, this lead seemed to have shrunk. … Is this shift […] Read more »
With Clinton Near Clinching, a Look Ahead to the Main Event
With Hillary Clinton poised to claim the Democratic nomination this evening, basic questions loom over her anticipated general election contest against Donald Trump. Will Bernie Sanders supporters line up behind her? And how will she stack up against Trump on key issues and personal attributes as voters make their choices […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton Will Be Nominated Because More Democrats Are Voting For Her
It’s an emblematically annoying ending to the Democratic campaign, one that reflects both the acrimony between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders and the fact that Clinton, in the end, is winning her party’s nomination by every available measure. … Clinton will be the Democratic nominee because substantially more Democrats have […] Read more »
AP count: Clinton has delegates to win Democratic nomination
Striding into history, Hillary Clinton will become the first woman to top the presidential ticket of a major U.S. political party, capturing commitments Monday from the number of delegates needed to become the Democrats’ presumptive nominee. The victory arrived nearly eight years to the day after she conceded her first […] Read more »
Voters don’t seem to care whether candidates tell the truth
… A February YouGov poll that ranked Clinton and Trump worst on trust asked voters what they wanted in a candidate. For Republicans, trust tied with “has policy proposals I agree with.” For Democrats, trust came in third but only 2 points behind “has the experience to be president.” But […] Read more »
Why a Long Count in California Would Hurt Bernie Sanders (Even if He Wins)
The Democratic race will almost certainly be over by the time the California polls close, but in some ways it’s still the most interesting contest between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders so far. It has easily been the closest contest in a big state, at least in the pre-election polls. […] Read more »