A majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI’s recommendation not to charge Hillary Clinton with a crime over her handling of email while secretary of state, and a similar number in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say the issue leaves them worried about how she would handle her responsibilities […] Read more »
Oldest and Youngest May Determine Presidential Election
… Two leading pollsters in the current campaign — Kellyanne Conway, who works with Trump, and Geoff Garin, who surveys for the Clinton Super-PAC — see inherent opportunities and problems for both candidates. Conway notes that Clinton was clobbered by Senator Bernie Sanders among young voters in the Democratic primaries […] Read more »
Politics & Polls podcast: Does the VP Pick Still Matter?
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will soon announce their running mates—but does the vice president pick still matter? While it was once used as a way to bring regional balance to the ticket, it’s not clear what the vice president selection means in 2016. Tune in to the second episode […] Read more »
The Campaign Post-Comey
Even though Democrat Hillary Clinton continues to lead Republican Donald Trump in nearly all major public polls, the answer to one question in the most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll had to trigger panic attacks throughout the entire Clinton campaign. Respondents were asked whether Trump or Clinton “would be […] Read more »
Why Clinton and Trump may increase voter turnout in 2016
As even casual observers of elections know, raw public opinion is only modestly instructive about likely results. If people don’t go to the polls, their views will not affect the outcome. Turnout always matters, and in close elections it can prove decisive. So what do we know about likely turnout […] Read more »
Clinton Runs Free of Indictment
FBI Director James Comey’s announcement Tuesday morning that Hillary Clinton will not be indicted effectively removes one of the last important variables in this presidential election—at least any that we know about. … There are a multitude of reasons why Hillary Clinton could still lose the election, but she no […] Read more »