… Given the wildly conflicting polls (and the difficulty in polling caucus attendees), we still can’t be certain who’ll win Iowa, what the order of finish will be or what the margins between candidates will look like. So there is a lot up in the air. On the other hand, […] Read more »
She’s the Next President. Wait, Did You Read That Right?
… Her. It’s a three-letter pronoun that, despite the seemingly endless debate over whether a woman can become president, feels relatively benign. But what if its use, or an unconscious aversion to its use, had some small power to influence voter perception? Could something as simple as a pronoun reflect, […] Read more »
It’s still difficult to see Trump losing Iowa in November
… Hillary Clinton’s showing in Iowa reflected a unique weakness, and Democrats have a chance to nominate someone who doesn’t have her baggage, which would improve their prospects in the state. But Trump’s margin was substantial, and Democrats would need to bring out voters who stayed home in 2016 and […] Read more »
President Trump shows us that electability is no match for electricity
… Candidate Trump showed that so-called electability is no match for electricity and a relentless focus on the electoral college. … Four years later, Democratic candidates, party leaders and primary voters have been seduced into the trap of focusing on electability. Multiple polls show that Democrats value “beating Donald Trump” […] Read more »
Was Hillary Clinton a terrible candidate?
… On the surface, Clinton could be viewed as a more valuable candidate to Democrats than Trump was to Republicans, according to Inside Elections’ ‘Vote Above Replacement’ metric. She overperformed a typical Democrat in 19 states, while Trump overperformed a typical Republican in 15 states. CONT. Nathan L. Gonzales, Roll […] Read more »
If Democrats nominate a woman for president, don’t try to make predictions about how she’ll do
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton arrives onstage during a primary night rally at the Duggal Greenhouse in the Brooklyn Navy Yard, June 7, 2016. Getty/ Drew Angerer Nathaniel Swigger, The Ohio State University Four women remain out of an original six in the Democratic primary for president: Sens. Elizabeth Warren […] Read more »