The presidential race heads into the home stretch with Clinton in the lead, but questions linger for both her and for Donald Trump. … This week, Clinton leads in two new polls of states that Trump needs to win, given his current electoral map: Clinton leads in Pennsylvania fairly comfortably […] Read more »
Election forecasters try to bring some order to a chaotic political year
For those who wish this long and often dismal presidential campaign were over, help is already here. To the rescue have come the forecasters — political scientists with prediction models that have already called the election, in some cases many months ago. Their work will soon be published collectively in […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump Are Tied In Latest IBD/TIPP Poll
In a sharp turnaround in an already volatile election season, support for Hillary Clinton tumbled as Donald Trump made gains over the past month, leaving the race a virtual tie. The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows that Clinton is now ahead of Trump by just one percentage point, 44% to 43% […] Read more »
America’s Voice/Latino Decisions 2016 National Latino Voter Survey
Earlier today, America’s Voice and Latino Decisions released the second wave of the 2016 Battleground Poll. … The national poll of 3,729 Latino registered voters was fielded between August 19th and 30th using a blend of web, land, and cell interviews with interviews conducted in English and Spanish based upon […] Read more »
Record Low in GOP See Candidate Who Would Be Good President
In mid-August, a bare majority of Republicans and Republican leaners (53%) said there was a candidate running for president who would make a good president. This is down seven percentage points from the pre-convention period in mid-July and is the lowest Republican reading so far in 2016. By contrast, 63% […] Read more »
A Tale of Two Elections
If you only paid attention to the presidential primaries you’d come away with the impression that this is an anti-status quo, anti-establishment kind of year. Voters have rewarded brash outsiders who want to shake up the “rigged” system. While Republicans were obviously more willing to support revolutionary change, Sanders success […] Read more »