By 61% to 27%, Americans who tuned in to Monday night’s presidential debate believe Hillary Clinton, rather than Donald Trump, did the better job. Her 34-percentage-point lead is among the more robust victories presidential candidates have earned in Gallup’s post-debate polls stretching back to 1960, on par with Bill Clinton’s […] Read more »
Campaign Says Trump ‘Did Win the Debate Polls’
Jason Miller, the Trump campaign’s senior communications adviser, and Chuck Todd discuss the validity of snap online polls that showed Donald Trump won Monday’s debate vs. scientific polls that indicate he lost to Hillary Clinton. NBC News Read more »
Media hype aside, Clinton still has the edge in this race
Seven weeks ago, I wrote that “Donald Trump needs a miracle” to win in November. Now, with only six weeks until that election, Trump has proven to be surprisingly resilient — but he remains a decided underdog. While there are plenty of high-profile Republican defectors who refuse to support Trump, […] Read more »
Why Are the Different Presidential Forecasts So Far Apart?
Hillary Clinton currently has a 71 percent chance of winning the presidency, according to The Upshot’s forecasting model. This is down from 90 percent last month, but higher than some other models we’re tracking, which put the odds between 58 percent and 85 percent. Part of the discrepancy comes from […] Read more »
The Clinton Campaign Has a Millennial Math Problem
… While the last time New Hampshire went red was in 2000, it still represents one of the Clinton campaign’s most perplexing challenges. The reason is that, while Sanders may now stand behind the Democratic presidential nominee, not all his supporters have followed, which may explain why Clinton has invited […] Read more »
Early Polls Suggest A Post-Debate Bounce For Clinton
Every scientific poll we’ve encountered so far suggests that voters thought Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump in Monday night’s debate. In fact, some of them showed her winning by a wide margin — wide enough to make it a good bet (though not a guarantee) that she’ll gain in horse-race […] Read more »