The past three weeks could not have gone much worse for Donald J. Trump, or really the entire Republican Party for that matter. Yet the polls conducted this week, after the second presidential debate on Sunday, have not been apocalyptic. … A wave election seemed possible after Mr. Trump was […] Read more »
The 2016 electoral map is collapsing around Donald Trump
Forget Virginia. Or Colorado. Or lots of other traditional swing states. Right now, Donald Trump’s campaign is in such bad free fall, states that haven’t voted for a Democrat in generations are suddenly coming into play as the Republican nominee’s path to 270 electoral votes collapses all around him. CONT. […] Read more »
In Presidential Contest, Voters Say ‘Basic Facts,’ Not Just Policies, Are in Dispute
In the contentious weeks leading up to Election Day, voters are deeply divided over the candidates, major issues and the nation’s past and future course. And, in a new survey, most voters say these differences even extend to disputes over basic facts. CONT. Pew Read more »
Politics & Polls podcast: House and Senate Races
While it may be hard to look away from the steel cage match between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, it’s time to start looking “down ticket,” as congressional races could be one of the biggest stories in the 2016 election. What happens in the House and Senate races will ultimately […] Read more »
No, one 19-year-old Trump supporter probably isn’t distorting the polling averages all by himself
… On Wednesday, the New York Times published an interesting piece that looked at how the USC/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” tracking poll weights its sample. The article suggested that the weighting was the main factor in causing the Daybreak poll to be the only major survey that had showed Donald […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 7 points
Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump has increased to seven points, as more than half of voters say he is not qualified to be president. That’s according to a just-released national Fox News Poll of likely voters. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »