Political observers most frequently focus on presidential job approval and “horse race” questions to estimate the probability of an incumbent president’s getting reelected. But there is a broader context that forms the backdrop of incumbent reelection campaigns — what Americans are thinking and feeling about the world in general. At […] Read more »
Americans’ Take on the U.S. Is Improved, but Still Mixed
President Donald Trump’s upbeat view of the nation’s economy, military strength, economic opportunity and overall quality of life will likely resonate with Americans when he delivers his State of the Union address to Congress next week. Most Americans say they are satisfied with each of these aspects of the country […] Read more »
Guns and the Suburbs
… Not all that long ago, the idea that laws to restrict gun rights would not only pass the Virginia legislature, but would be broadly popular in the Commonwealth, was unthinkable. … The conventional wisdom back in the early part of the 2000s was that a Democrat could only get […] Read more »
Several Issues Tie as Most Important in 2020 Election
Of 16 issues presented in a recent Gallup poll, at least 30% of U.S. adults rate five as being “extremely important” to their vote for president in 2020: healthcare, national security, gun policy, education and the economy. As expected with a Republican president in office, Democrats assign higher importance than […] Read more »
Gallup Decade in Review: 2010-2019
A review of Gallup analyses over the past decade reveals that the years from 2010 to 2019 bore witness to key revolutionary changes in public opinion, along with some persistent trends and concerns, as well as striking moments and lasting effects. Here are the changes, issues and moments in public […] Read more »
The Votes That Could Deliver Democrats Another Majority
In the eyes of history, the ballot that House Democrats cast to impeach President Donald Trump will stand as the most significant vote they take this year, and maybe in their entire careers. But in terms of whether the party can keep its House majority after 2020, impeachment may not […] Read more »